investments

I have a friend who has been asking me for almost 3 years if we think the stock market is ready to take a dive. My answer is always the same: “What portion of your portfolio is actually invested in the stock market?” Why do I ask such a question? Because the return of the stock market only impacts her stock mutual fund investments. Her overall portfolio return depends on how all her investment types – cash, long-term income funds, stock funds, real estate funds, etc. – are mixed and how they perform together. This is called asset allocation and is an important investment portfolio technique that balances risk among various types of investments. So, here is: 1) A review of 2019 so far; 2) The stock and bond market returns in context and; 3) Our recommendation to focus on asset allocation, not the short-term direction of the stock market:

My parents were children of the Great Depression and, like many people of that era, they were and are careful with money. While extraordinarily generous to their children, grandchildren and to their beloved charitable causes, spending money on a luxury just for themselves still requires breaking decades of money muscle memory. Surveys during the 1960s showed that people who were young during the Great Depression were not only, like my parents, extremely careful with money but also quite risk averse. Not surprisingly, this aversion to risk made this generation much less likely to invest in the stock market.

I refer to those in their 40’s and early 50’s as the “financial sandwich generation.” Many are paying off student loan debt, possibly saving money for children’s education, maybe even helping aging parents – all while trying to save for their own retirement. Talk about a squeeze! Here is some advice to help put a little more jelly on that sandwich.

Now that we’ve passed the mid-year mark, many economists and self-declared financial pundits are reviewing investment performances of the first 6 months and predicting the next 6. The most frequent question seems to be whether we’re headed toward a bear market, followed by a recession. This, despite the fact the economy is strong with unemployment at historical lows and companies reporting earnings growth.

Most of our clients hire Moneywatch because they are consumed with their careers and busy with their families and they want us to plan for their financial independence and manage their investments to achieve that goal. And, for many, words like inverted yield curve and budget deficits make their eyes roll back in their head.  So, if the term zero term premium means you’ve had a bad semester, read here for what you need to know about your retirement investments if the market declines…or doesn’t. 

“Americans are reaching retirement age in worse financial shape than the prior generation for the first time since Harry Truman was president”, says a recent Wall Street Journal article. There are several causes but us Baby Boomers are the first generation left mostly without pensions and with the responsibility to manage our own retirement savings. So, as you can imagine, some have flourished, some have struggled and more than some aren’t quite sure how they’ve done because they’re scared to look. Where do you fall?